Prediction Markets Overview — a comprehensive summary
Explore prediction market data across politics, sports, crypto, finance, and more. Track probabilities, compare platforms, and follow how market expectations change over time.
Total Active Markets 86
Total Volume $4.65B
Open Interest $200.86M
Total Liquidity $339.13M
Bubble size · Volume
Ring color · Probability change (24h)
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Market overview48 markets
| Actions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballon d’Or Winner 2026 | Sports | Harry Kane | 49.1% | +2 pp (24h) | $44.66M |  Polymarket | |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Culture | Yes | 3.8% | -0.8 pp (24h) | $835.82K | Polymarket | |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | 4.9% | -0.15 pp (24h) | $23.78M | Polymarket | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k before 2027? | Crypto | by December 31, 2027 | 30% | +1.5 pp (24h) | $27.29M | Polymarket | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Tech | June 30, 2027 | 19.5% | +1 pp (24h) | $3.03M | Polymarket | |
| Anthropic IPO date | Tech | December 31, 2026 | 82% | -1 pp (24h) | $4.41M | Polymarket | |
| What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? | Crypto | ↑ 90,000 | 77.5% | -4.5 pp (24h) | $72.99M | Polymarket | |
| What will Anthropic’s valuation hit by December 31? | Finance | ↑$1.5T | 93.5% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $5.29M | Polymarket | |
| Satoshi’s identity proven in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | 2.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $937.82K | Polymarket | |
| Next James Bond actor? | Culture | Jack Lowden | 37.2% | -2.3 pp (24h) | $1.36M | Polymarket | |
| Next French Presidential Election | Politics | Marine Le Pen | 43.5% | -1.4 pp (24h) | $144.87M | Polymarket | |
| Next Secretary-General of the United Nations | Politics | Rebeca Grynspan | 44.5% | -11 pp (24h) | $213.48K | Polymarket | |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Politics | JD Vance | 20.7% | +0.5 pp (24h) | $713.22M | Polymarket | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by…? | Politics | December 31 | 5.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $75.42M | Polymarket | |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Date | Politics | December 31 | 10.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.19M | Polymarket | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through…? | Politics | Yes | 83.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $1.32M | Polymarket | |
| Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | Flávio Bolsonaro | 83.7% | -2 pp (24h) | $173.62M | Polymarket | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Culture | December 31 | 3.2% | 0 pp (24h) | $71.71M | Polymarket | |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner | Culture | The Odyssey | 49% | 0 pp (24h) | $266.53K | Polymarket | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 14.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $72.1M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI IPO date | Tech | June 30, 2027 | 45.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $3.04M | Polymarket | |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Politics | Democrats Sweep | 65.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $18.32M | Polymarket | |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | Tech | Anthropic | 50.8% | +4.4 pp (24h) | $6.52M | Polymarket | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Culture | Yes | 1.4% | 0 pp (24h) | $66.34M | Polymarket | |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Sports | Barcelona | 21.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $45.78M | Polymarket | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | 2.5% | +0.05 pp (24h) | $43.62M | Polymarket | |
| EPL: 2027 Champion | Sports | Arsenal | 61% | 0 pp (24h) | $21.36M | Polymarket | |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | Politics | Nicolás Maduro | 71.3% | +0.2 pp (24h) | $98.07M | Polymarket | |
| California Governor Election Winner | Politics | Xavier Becerra | 96% | +0.45 pp (24h) | $41.67M | Polymarket | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by…? | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 10.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $27.36M | Polymarket | |
| Crude Oil All-Time High | Economy | Yes | 9.5% | -1 pp (24h) | $1.65M | Polymarket | |
| 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) | Sports | Casper Ruud | 0.1% | 0 pp (24h) | $26.38M | Polymarket | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announce date? | Tech | December 31, 2027 | 61% | -1.5 pp (24h) | $1.3M | Polymarket | |
| OpenAI valuation 2026 | Tech | ↑$1.25T | 84.5% | +2.5 pp (24h) | $1.26M | Polymarket | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Politics | Yes | 3.7% | -0.1 pp (24h) | $12.38M | Polymarket | |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 18% | +1 pp (24h) | $1.29B | Polymarket | |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Politics | Democratic Party | 92.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $13.81M | Polymarket | |
| Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Democratic | 64.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $2.46M | Polymarket | |
| Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 | Culture | Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 14.4% | -1.3 pp (24h) | $26.18M | Polymarket | |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…? | Politics | December 31 | 7.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $18.02M | Polymarket | |
| New Stranger Things episode release date | Culture | March 31, 2027 | 5.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $30.9M | Polymarket | |
| Los Angeles Mayoral Election | Politics | Nithya Raman | 60.3% | +0.7 pp (24h) | $14.9M | Polymarket | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by…? | Politics | December 31 | 16% | -1.5 pp (24h) | $16.44M | Polymarket | |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Politics | J.D. Vance | 50.3% | 0 pp (24h) | $709.74M | Polymarket | |
| UK Social Media Ban Date | Politics | June 30, 2027 | 62% | +8.5 pp (24h) | $3.05K | Polymarket | |
| What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? | Crypto | ↑ 3,000 | 67.5% | 0 pp (24h) | $17.2M | Polymarket | |
| What price will Solana hit in 2026? | Crypto | ↑ 140 | 54.5% | -2 pp (24h) | $2.15M | Polymarket | |
| Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? | Politics | Gadi Eizenkot | 46.7% | +0.9 pp (24h) | $43.3M | Polymarket |
